Turkish Foreign Policy in the Mediterranean: An Analytical Overview
E. Nur Sezek & Maria Fernanda Sanzon-Maya
Abstract
This paper provides an in-depth exploration of Türkiye’s evolving foreign policy in the Mediterranean, with a focus on the historical, domestic, and geopolitical factors that shape its regional strategy. Eurasian country’s approach, anchored in the “Blue Homeland” doctrine, reflects an assertive stance on maritime claims and a drive to assert sovereignty over critical sea routes and resources. This approach is largely influenced by rising nationalism, economic imperatives, and the strategic goal of securing energy independence in the face of regional competition. The study examines Ankara’s complex interactions with key Mediterranean neighbours, including Greece, Egypt, and Israel, alongside its relationships with multilateral entities like NATO and the European Union. By analysing both bilateral and multilateral engagements, the paper highlights the ways in which domestic political dynamics—such as economic pressures and public opinion—intersect with global forces to impact Türkiye’s Mediterranean strategy. The analysis also emphasizes the influence of geopolitical rivalries and Türkiye’s balancing act between Western alliances and its partnerships with non-Western powers, notably Russia. The paper concludes by assessing possible future directions for Türkiye’s Mediterranean policy considering regional diplomacy, evolving economic priorities, and shifting roles of global powers. This examination offers valuable insights into the complexities of Türkiye’s Mediterranean ambitions, suggesting that a balanced approach, one that combines assertiveness with diplomacy, may provide the most sustainable path forward. Such a strategy would enable Türkiye to safeguard its interests while minimizing the risk of alienating key regional and global allies.
Keywords: Turkish foreign policy, Mediterranean strategy, Geopolitical dynamics.
References
Akgün, M., & Gündoğar, S. S. (2012). The Perception of Türkiye in the Middle East 2012. TESEV Publications.
Al Jazeera. (2020, August 28). Türkiye and Greece: Pouring gas on the eastern Mediterranean dispute. https://studies.aljazeera.net/en/policy-briefs/Türkiye-and-greece-pouring-gas-eastern-mediterranean-dispute
Altunışık, M. B., & Tür, Ö. (2006). Türkiye: Challenges of Continuity and Change. Routledge.
Armaoğlu, F. (1991). 20. Yüzyıl Siyasi Tarihi 1914-1980. Türkiye İş Bankası Kültür Yayınları.
Aydın, M. (1999). Determinants of Turkish Foreign Policy: Historical Framework and Traditional Inputs. Middle Eastern Studies, 35(4), 152-186.
Aydın-Düzgit, S. (2012). Constructing Europe in Türkiye: Identity and Foreign Policy. Insight Türkiye, 14(1), 89-101.
Bilgin, P. (2008). The Politics of Security and the Production of Insecurity: Türkiye in the Post-Cold War Era. New Perspectives on Türkiye, 40, 103-125.
Çevik, S. B. (2013). Türkiye’s Foreign Policy and Security Perspectives in the 21st Century. Journal of Balkan and Near Eastern Studies, 15(2), 157-170.
CIMSEC. (2023). Turkey’s Mavi Vatan strategy and rising insecurity in the Eastern Mediterranean. https://cimsec.org/turkeys-mavi-vatan-strategy-and-rising-insecurity-in-the-eastern-mediterranean/
Coşkun, B. B. (2023). One Hundred Years of Turkish Foreign Policy in Eastern Mediterranean (1923–2023): A Neoclassical Realist Analysis of Türkiye as a Middle Power. In B. Özkeçeci Taner & S. Akgül Açıkmeşe (Eds.) One Hundred Years of Turkish Foreign Policy (1923-2023) (pp. 143–162). Springer. https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-35859-3_7
Daily Sabah. (2023). Türkiye to add extra muscle to its energy vessel fleet with 7th ship. https://www.dailysabah.com/business/energy/turkiye-to-add-extra-muscle-to-its-energy-vessel-fleet-with-7th-ship
Deringil, S. (1989). Turkish Foreign Policy during the Second World War: An ‘Active’ Neutrality. Cambridge University Press.
DLQ Magazine. (2023). The overlooked new energy geopolitics of the Eastern Mediterranean. https://dlqmag.com/uncategorized/the-overlooked-new-energy-geopolitics-of-the-eastern-mediterranean/
Ekathimerini. (2023). Materializing the Blue Homeland Doctrine. https://www.ekathimerini.com/opinion/interviews/1197618/materializing-the-blue-homeland-doctrine/
Hale, W. (2013). Turkish Foreign Policy since 1774. Routledge.
Kadir Has University. (2022). Turkish Foreign Policy Public Opinion Research. https://khas.edu.tr/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/TDP_2022_ENG_FINAL_07.09.22.pdf
Kaliber, A. (2005). Securing the Ground through Securitized ‘Foreign’ Policy: The Cyprus Case. Security Dialogue, 36(3), 319-337.
Kirişci, K. (2006). Türkiye’s Foreign Policy in Turbulent Times. Chaillot Paper, No. 92. Institute for Security Studies.
Larrabee, F. S. (2010). Türkiye’s New Geopolitics. Survival, 52(2), 157-180.
Le Monde. (2024, April 22). ‘Russia could push Türkiye into lasting political and military antagonism with the rest of NATO’. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/opinion/article/2024/04/22/russia-could-push-Türkiye-into-lasting-political-and-military-antagonism-with-the-rest-of-nato_6669139_23.html
Middle East Eye. (2021, March 12). Türkiye-Egypt relations: What’s behind their new diplomatic push? https://www.middleeasteye.net/opinion/Türkiye-egypt-relations-new-diplomatic-push-what-behind
Middle East Eye. (2022, October 4). Eastern Mediterranean tensions escalate after preliminary Türkiye-Libya maritime deal. https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/eastern-mediterranean-tensions-escalate-over-Türkiye-libya-maritime-deal
Öniş, Z. (2001). Turkey and Post-Soviet States: Potential and Limits of Regional Power Influence. Middle East Review of International Affairs, 5(2), 66-74.
Oran, B. (Ed.). (2010). Türk Dış Politikası: Kurtuluş Savaşından Bugüne Olgular, Belgeler, Yorumlar. İletişim Yayınları.
Pierini, M. (2024, September 12). Turkey’s Foreign Policy Ambitions Meet Reality. Carnegie Europe. https://carnegieeurope.eu/strategiceurope/90472
Reuters. (2024, May 13). Türkiye’s Erdogan hosts Greek PM, sees ‘no unsolvable problems’ in bilateral ties. https://www.reuters.com/world/turkish-greek-leaders-set-talks-maintain-positive-momentum-2024-05-13/
Robins, P. (2003). Suits and Uniforms: Turkish Foreign Policy since the Cold War. Hurst & Company.
Semantics Scholar. (2023). Greece’s adherence to UNCLOS principles: Implications for maritime boundary delimitation. https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/2c48/a00b7b22cf8220e43dd5d9a3fdf6598c74a5.pdf
Times of Israel. (2023, May 15). The escalating tensions: A three-way fight between Türkiye, Iran, and Israel. https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-escalating-tensions-a-three-way-fight-between-Türkiye-iran-and-israel/
Walker, J. W. (2003). Turkey’s Imperial Legacy: Understanding Contemporary Turkey through its Ottoman Past. Perspectives on Global Development and Technology, 2(3-4), 425-447.
Yılmaz, Ş. (2009). Turkish-American Relations, 1800-1952: Between the Stars, Stripes and the Crescent. Routledge.
Zürcher, E. J. (2004). Turkey: A Modern History. I.B. Tauris.